Error estimation

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Error estimation in any physics field can sometimes be difficult and is often poorly understood.  It is common for errors to be underestimated because of a failure to correlate error contributions from all significant (strongly coupled) fit parameters, and fallacies about error propagation abound.
Error estimation in any physics field can sometimes be difficult and is often poorly understood.  It is common for errors to be underestimated because of a failure to correlate error contributions from all significant (strongly coupled) fit parameters, and fallacies about error propagation abound.
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==Diagonal errors versus correlated errors==
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The ''diagonal'' error is the error one obtains by varying only a single parameter "x" above and below it minimum chi-squared value to find the intersection of the chi-squared vs. with the line defined by chi-squared = minimum chi-squared + 1.  The diagonal error is generally much smaller than the full correlated error, and the latter is the error that should be quoted.
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The ''correlated error'' is defined by the lower and upper limits of the parameter being measured of  the (ideally elliptical) intersection of the reduced chi-squared surface with the plane defined by reduced-chi-squared + reduced-chi-squared_minimum + (reduced-chi-squared_minimum/N), where "N" is the number of [ degrees of freedom] in the fit.
==Proper treatment of correlated errors in the general case==
==Proper treatment of correlated errors in the general case==

Revision as of 12:36, 8 February 2011

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